Karnataka election results point to bipolar polity in southern state

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Key Points

This is the highest combined vote share of the top two parties in the state since the 1985 elections..

Until the counting of votes began in Karnataka, the Janata Dal (Secular) or JD (S) was hoping to play kingmaker in the state..

When read with the fact that the JD (S)s vote share has dropped to 13.31%, the lowest since its debut election in 1999, this suggests a growing trend towards bipolarity in the states politics...

Coastal Karnataka, which has historically been polarised between the Congress and the BJP, has the lowest ENOP in the state while central and southern Karnataka have the highest ENOP numbers..

However, median ENOP value has gone down in every sub-region between 2018 and 2023 elections except in coastal Karnataka where it has increased marginally...

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