Key Points
AI seems set to do to computer programmingand possibly other kinds of so-called knowledge workwhat automation has done to other jobs, from the factory floor and the warehouse, to the checkout aisle and the call center..
Economists call this skills-biased technological change." Its what happens when technology makes skilled workers more productive, while taking over the complex and difficult parts of more repetitive jobs, making workers who do them easier to train and more interchangeable..
The rise of the kind of AI that can make more experienced programmers more productive could mean that companies with hiring freezes wait longer to start hiring again, and startups looking to survive the current slowdown in venture-capital investing opt not to move forward with current hiring plans..
If I were an investor, and my companies were thinking about hiring hundreds of engineers, Id say, well, maybe instead you can use AI to be more productive," says Prashanth Chandrasekar, chief executive of Stack Overflow, a company that maintains a user-generated repository of questions and answers for programmers..
Many experienced developers I spoke with expressed skepticism about the ability of AI coding tools to take over the most essential tasks of programming, including designing solutions to complex problems, and understanding existing libraries of code at companies that have been building up their systems for years, or even decades..
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