Expect some more cuts in small, midcap segments; largecaps to lead next leg of rally: Amnish Aggarwal

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Key Points

Amnish Aggarwal, Head-Reasearch, Prabhudas Lilladher, says this is not the end of the bull market and there is no change in the stance as far as the economy or the markets over the medium to long term are concerned..

In the past few months, although the index was also moving up, the market was led by smallcaps and midcaps and many largecap sectors were not performing to that extent or rather they were underperforming the broader markets..

That is what I was referring to that the broader market was being led more by, I would say midcaps and if you look at most of the largecap names like Reliance, HDFC Bank and if you look slightly longer over the last say 12 months or so, even ICICI Bank has not done anything.. I would say it is a classic case that in the last six months, it is not only the FII money, it is also the money coming from SIPs is coming from the local PMS AIF that is running the market..

So, given the fact that these two stocks have got a considerable weightage and they have not performed, that actually makes the case that when they start performing next year, there is a good probability that the largecaps might outperform midcaps for some time...

If their books continue to be the way they are, if they continue to further upgrade their technology like they have done in the past few years, and the very fact that there is likelihood of now further consolidation of PSU banks, then the further uptick in the price to book of PSU banks cannot be ruled out...

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