Starting out in tech stocks? Start with small tranches within midcap IT, says Mayuresh Joshi

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Key Points

Mayuresh Joshi, Head, Equity Research-India, William O'Neil, says as metal demand comes back slowly and steadily as far as China is concerned, the expectations of a soft landing in the US, strong recovery signs that we are seeing in Europe and holding out of macros and the expectations of infra spend in India, is expected to keep volumes afloat as far as Indian companies are concerned..

The second element is around the same periodicity of time, a large expectations are getting laid out that China should see the initial signs of recovery and as those recovery signs become a little bit more eminent, the expectations in terms of restocking which will start happening across the metal pack whether it is ferrous, whether it is non-ferrous will start boosting LME prices...

The reported EBITDA per tonne in excess of 20 odd thousand for the first half should show signs of improvement as we do the next few quarters and as a serious economic recovery takes place across the globe and therefore, volumes, value added products, the expectations in terms of better margins coming and a better reported EBITDA per tonne should probably raise EPS estimates even for the next financial year..

So, I think the huge move that you have probably seen in a large part of the midcap IT spectrum gets a boost as you rightfully put forward in terms of the comments from the Fed, the expectations of a soft landing, which probably means discretionary spending at the client end, specifically in these pockets of a million to 10 million where a lot of these midcap IT companies work out with that should have steady inflows and a lot of commentaries are pointing to that...

A lot of companies have deleveraged their balance sheets to a large extent and therefore, the kind of earnings momentum that one can expect from these stocks can very well continue. Obviously, historical valuations and where they are trading at the juncture are fairly valued as we speak, but if earnings are expected to come strongly in the next few quarters, the momentum can very well continue, assuming we are in the mid of that cycle...

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