These auto sector stocks can deliver more than 15% return in next one year

Maruti Suzuki India's Senior Executive Officer (Marketing and Sales) Shashank Srivastava predicts that an increase in interest rates for auto loans could impact passenger vehicle sales in India. With a record 41.08 lakh units in 2023, the auto industry is expected to grow in a single digit, with the overall economic growth of the country being a positive factor.

Unlike the US and some other western countries, where a separate transportation index is watched very closely, in India we don't have a very popular transportation index. The reason why transportation index numbers are extremely important is because there is enough historical evidence to show that auto industry numbers lead indicators of what is happening in the economy. If one looks at the history of the stock market, the rallies which are led by the transportation and auto sector are more durable rallies. Especially the ones which are led by large commercial vehicles. The reason, sales of LCV and certain other auto segments is an indication of the economic situation on the ground. Demand for large commercial vehicles would only increase when there is higher economic growth as more goods get moved from one place to another when the economy is doing well.

Gone are the days, when a single company was considered a bellwether for IT sector stock. Today, whether it is a large or mid sized company, all have different focus areas and hence their quarterly results tend to differ from one another. Stock Reports Plus, powered by Refinitiv, is a comprehensive research report that evaluates five key components of 4,000+ listed stocks - earnings, fundamentals, relative valuation, risk and price momentum to generate standardized scores.

Stock Market Today: Bajaj Auto, TVS, Hero MotoCorp, M&M share price gained more than 1% on Friday. Bajaj TVS, Hero reported 22-24% y-o-y growth in two-wheeler sales. M&M, Maruti, Tata Motors passenger Vehicle sales grew 12-30% y-o-y. Commercial Vehicles, Tractor however saw tepid sales growth.

Macro environment in which auto ancillaries companies operate have turned favourable after a long period of time. Sometimes it is LCV and HCV which drives the demand, at other point time, better four and two wheeler numbers are pushing the demand up for auto ancillary companies, some of which are changing their business model to stay relevant in times of EV. We take a look at companies where analysts are projecting further upside in the next 12 months. The list is based on upside estimated by the analysts, with the highest potential stock coming on the top of the list.

After facing rising input costs and supply chain disruption, the Macro environment in which auto ancillaries companies operate have turned favourable after a long period of time. Sometimes it is LCV and HCV which drives the demand, at other point time, better four and two wheeler numbers are pushing the demand up for auto ancillary companies, some of which are changing their business model to stay relevant in times of EV. We take a look at companies where analysts are projecting further upside in the next 12 months. The list is based on upside estimated by the analysts, with the highest potential stock coming on the top of the list.

Cement has been a sector where most of the analysts have been caught off guards. The stocks have done well and a large number of analysts have been sticking to their stands that pricing and capacity utilization is an issue. What they probably ignored was the fact that any industry which has been facing headwinds for a long time tends to sort the issues and few players are able to make a comeback as consolidation takes place. Pretty much what we have seen in power.

One sector which has been firing on all cylinders has been the auto sector, it started with stocks like Ashok leyland, Tata motors, Eicher motors.doing extremely well in the first phase of auto sector bull run.Then it was companies from the tyre sector which saw a sharp upward trend and then a select few auto ancillary stocks. It was in the third phase where 4 wheeler and 2 wheeler companies joined the bull run. One of the reasons why there has been a difference between different segments joining the rally at different stages has been the fact that each segment has been adjusting to the transformation to the EV space. The adjustment process is still on, so rather than taking exposure to a single stock it would be better to have a look at the basket of the stocks and have a mix. There are some stocks which are not been looked favorably by analysts as they believe that stocks have seen a run up but the fact remains that as sector one of the best proxy for taking exposure to economic growth.

Capital good companies had faced tough times for many years. Given the fact that hardly any capacity buildup was taking place in any industry, a number had to change their product portfolio and had to live with very low margins. But all the efforts have now started to show some results. Given the performance of the stock, a large majority of these stocks have hold recommendations from the analysts.