China will want to make India’s U.S. ties costly, says Joseph Torigian

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Key Points

In the months since Chinas Party Congress in October, protests around the country in November, and the sudden withdrawal of the zero-COVID policy the following month, the ruling Communist Party of China is looking to course correct, says Joseph Torigian, Global Fellow at the Wilson Centers History and Public Policy Program and an Assistant Professor at the School of International Service at the American University, Washington D.C., who researches the elite politics of authoritarian regimes and is currently visiting India...

General Secretary Xi Jinpinghas been able to get away withthese shifts in policy given his dominant position in the party, he adds, and has maneuvered the Chinese system to avoid pushback at the elite level..

As for the immediate post-Mao era, we used to think that DengXiaopingushered in an era of collective leadership and partyinstitutionalisation to prevent the appearance of a new strongman.But that assessment too is increasingly challenged by historians.Dengwas the kind of person who would refuse to hold PolitburoStanding Committee meetings to prevent other leading figures likeChen Yun from even having a chance to speak..

The kind of concentration of power weve seen under XiJinping probably creates some pathologies, but you could make the case that itsintended to avoid the very serious problems that the two line system under Mao and Deng presented, especially with regard to successionpolitics...

So that means that although Xis power is extraordinary,he is still more vulnerable than Mao or Deng ever were.In termsof policy debates within the Xi Jinping leadership model, we dont really know how they work, to be honest..

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