8-10% correction likely in Nifty as well as broader markets: Amit Khurana

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Key Points

Amit Khurana, Head of Equities, Dolat Capital, says we believe a broader correction of up to double digits on the Nifty should be par for the taking and within that, you will see some of the sectors probably correcting more..

But some of the other categories which have done absolutely well, for example, hotels or for that matter jewellery, some of those discretionary consumption stocks, autos have done pretty well..

On banks, we have been very bullish, but I think the markets just seem to keep derating the franchises because of concerns on NIMs and this entire higher interest rate regime, which earlier we thought will possibly start unwinding from June onwards, but the latest policy from the MPC seems to suggest it more moving towards August as the first rate cut scenario and therefore the concerns on banking names continues to play out on the negative side, but we believe that the sector is in pretty reasonable attractive valuations, especially the frontline largecap banks...

There are some other developments which are also likely to come in the public domain as per the management guidance, which will give a sense as to how the move to the third-party banks will work out and that will be an important development from our perspective also because if the transition works out seamlessly over the next few months, then the confidence may return to the company and therefore, the risk premia that the market is today demanding on this as a franchise may sort of normalise...

Now, a long-period average, all these things have come into play on expectations of a third term for the Modi government, continuation of the PSU cycle, the rerating cycle which is continuing right now, and a whole lot of other positive optimism captured and a large part of that was also the fact that the interest rate cuts would start sooner than later...

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