US FOMC verdict today: What Dalal Street should expect; will it sway the bulls?

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Key Points

After taking a pause in June, the US Federal Reserve, at the end of its two-day monetary policy meeting today, is widely expected to raise the federal funds rate by a quarter percentage point...

In June, the Fed left policy rates unchanged for the first time since March 2022, and said such a move will allow the committee to assess additional data and its implications for monetary policy...

While labor markets remain tight enough, we maintain that the economic lags of massive hikes will not necessarily require further hikes beyond July, Arora said...

We do not expect any notable developments in the meeting statement, and there will be no updated economic projections or dot plotWe expect Powell to reiterate his base case for some additional tightening this year, Nomura Financial Advisory said.. Arora believes the forward guidance by Fed will indicate that the June dot plot is still relevant, while caveating that future policy decisions are not predetermined, and any additional tightening will be data-dependent...

Even though the Nifty is showing signs of resilience, it is unlikely to race to 20000-level in the next few days, given the rising dollar and declining FPI inflows..Globally markets will be keenly watching the Fed commentary since a 25 bps hike in rate is already known and discounted by the market, said V K Vijayakumar, chief investment strategist, Geojit Financial Services...

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