We need to change our approach to market this year onwards. Nimish Chandan explains why

Posted on:
Key Points

Markets have reached their fair valuations in some areas, we have moved to much higher than the reasonable valuations..

Nimesh Chandan: When we look at longer terms say 20 years kind of analysis of various parameters first let me come to large caps, so large caps are trading at around fair valuation according to our internal metrics where we look at not only earnings growth but also say what assets these companies are holding, the return on capital of these companies, the sector mix in the nifty...

Nimesh Chandan: Absolutely, if you see some of the areas which are starkly undervalued or trading at lower valuations compared to their historical averages, the private banks space is large..

But if you look at a slightly longer runway these companies are trading at valuations which have very low expectations for the next two-three years and if India is getting good liquidity coming from the foreign investors from June onward, when we get included in indices a little better interest rate scenario globally as liquidity flows start getting better, fed cuts rates going forward..

Nimesh Chandan: Whenever an industry sees the influx of new large players coming in typically the incumbency, some pressure because people expect market share loss or margins to be a little lower and the valuation then compressed to some extent..

You might be interested in

ETMarkets Smart Talk: Jio Financial has several factors going in its favour to become a multibagger: Mohit

01, Sep, 23

The standout advantage for JFS is the extensive distribution network of its parent company, Reliance. With Reliance Retail boasting a customer base of approximately 25 crore and Reliance Jio with a base of around 44 crore customers, JFS has access to an enormous customer pool. This physical and digital reach can be a game changer, allowing JFS to quickly expand its customer base and offer a variety of financial services to a vast audience.

Want to buy afresh or add fresh positions? Look for growth, not value: Deepak Shenoy

12, Dec, 23

“In infrastructure, I would look at companies that are able to manage their cash flows better and even a company like Mazagon Dock has amazing cash flow management for what is otherwise a government company. They have net cash on their balance sheet because they get paid in advance. Some of those aspects matter more.”

Markets fairly valued, no multibaggers but compounding opportunities are there: Prashant Jain

11, Nov, 23

“In India the largecaps – Nifty, Sensex can compound 12% longer term. I do not see a challenge in that. Markets are now close to historic multiples, slightly higher but I think there are three reasons why Indian multiples may settle higher than the past – faster growth, lower cost of capital and lower volatility.”

What could be the next mega trend in the market? Raamdeo Agrawal answers

31, Jul, 23

According to Raamdeo Agrawal, Chairman of MOFSL, pure internet companies such as Zomato, Swiggy, and PolicyBazaar can become large players in terms of profit pool. Companies like Bajaj Finance, Zerodha, and Angel One, which are traditional businesses leveraging the power of technology, are also poised for accelerated growth. Another area for growth is the real estate industry, which is showing profits after years of losses.

Crash was expected; stay calm and invested as market will revive soon: Sandeep Raina

13, Mar, 24

Sandeep Raina is not worried about the market crash. Further small cuts are possible, but it's not a bloodbath. Stay invested, the market will revive. Quality midcaps, smallcaps, and largecaps with 20% growth, good ROCE, and cash flows are worth investing. Pharma stocks like Beta Drugs, Kilpest, and Sun Pharma are interesting.

India a shining spot, domestic investors driving Indian markets: Punita Kumar Sinha

02, Dec, 23

“If you look at the kind of companies where the stocks are going up even more are the ones that are not even covered by many research houses. So the stocks that are the smaller ones, not in any coverage by the sell side are still seeing a lot of rally. So clearly, there is some irrationality.”

Porinju Veliyath on Raymond deal, the next basket for multibaggers & more

28, Apr, 23

Porinju Veliyath believes that it will not be easy to create alpha investing in the well-known largecap companies, but one can still invest in them. He continues to believe in the India story, and that India's era is just starting, which is where China was in 2007. Veliyath suggests that there are many upcoming midcap companies that can offer great opportunities for the investing community to create alpha, and further states that many state PSUs, if better managed, could become multi-baggers.

Worst time for a good stock picker; if you wait to do research, you lose out: Samit Vartak

13, Dec, 23

“I guess, people made a lot of money after Covid and they are looking for avenues to invest. Even after this runup, many are sitting on a significant amount of cash. So, even now, the liquidity is not completely exhausted. I guess it is just the money which was probably printed during the Covid times, which is still making rounds.”

Don't see slowdown in India, our fastest-growing market: Roland Busch, Siemens AG's CEO

28, Apr, 23

We recently did our five-year planning and we looked into the markets and market growth. India is number one in terms of growth. So therefore, we see a lot of momentum in the industrial, mobility, infrastructure and electrification space as India is very serious on driving renewables up. This is where we have a lot of business and local production, said Roland Busch, Siemens AG's CEO.

Triveni Sangam setting stage to kickstart next phase for India: Nilesh Shah, Kotak AMC

14, Dec, 23

So, investors should be aware that just because India is doing well, it doesn't mean that markets will continue to move only in one direction. As an investor, you must focus on quality, buy good companies run by good managers and those available at a good price. Retail investors have the luxury of taking a longer term view. They don't have to worry about 6-12 months performance or the volatility and so on and so forth.