India needs FDI reform to renew investor confidence now. Don’t wait till after 2024 election

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Key Points

For much of its 9-year run, the Modi government has trumpeted its relative success in attracting higher levels of foreign direct investment..

In the seven years leading up to Prime Minister Modis election in May 2014, India averaged $27b in foreign direct investment per year (looking specifically at new equity and acquisitions, not reinvested earnings and other forms of capital)..

Notable reforms, as we tracked through our India Reforms Scorecard, include the Goods and Services Tax (GST), the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code, abolishing the small scale industries reservation list in manufacturing, and key sectoral reforms like the Hydrocarbon Exploration and Licensing Policy (HELP)..

The World Banks erstwhile Doing Business index became a beacon for specific reforms. Courting Investors: Prime Minister Modi used his foreign trips far more aggressively than his predecessors to sell the India story..

A negative list will provide important assurances to investors that their investments will not subsequently be upended through future sectoral micro-definitions emerging, as has happened in the past with stock exchanges, white goods manufacturing, and non-inventory e-commerce..

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