U.S. leading indicators point to recession starting soon

Posted on:
Key Points

"Elevated prices, tighter monetary policy, harder-to-get credit, and reduced government spending are poised to dampen economic growth further," Zabinska-La Monica said..

An index designed to track turns in U.S. business cycles fell for the 15th straight month in June, dragged down by a weakening consumer outlook and increased unemployment claims, marking the longest streak of decreases since the lead-up to the 2007-2009 recession...

The Conference Board on Thursday said its Leading Economic Index, a measure that anticipates future economic activity, declined by 0.7% in June to 106.1 following a revised decrease of 0.6% in May..

Taken together, Junes data suggests economic activity will continue to decelerate in the months ahead, Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, senior manager of business cycle indicators at The Conference Board, said in a statement..