El Niño ending; at least 60 per cent chance of La Niña developing during July-September: World Meteorological Organization

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New Delhi, June 3. 2023/24 El Nio event, which drove record-breaking temperatures and extreme weather around the world, is predicted to transition to La Nia conditions later this year, according to a new update from the World Meteorological Organization (WMO)...

The WMO said this is happening due to the naturally occurring El Nio unusual warming of waters in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean and the additional energy trapped in the atmosphere and ocean by greenhouse gases from human activities...

The latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres of Long-Range Forecasts give equal chances (50 per cent) of either neutral conditions or a transition to La Nia during June-August...

The probability of El Nio redeveloping is negligible during this time, the WMO said.. While El Nio is associated with weaker monsoon winds and drier conditions in India, La Niathe anti-thesis of El Nioleads to plentiful rainfall during the monsoon...

Last month, the India Meteorological Department had forecast above normal rain in the monsoon season in India with favourable La Nia conditions expected to set in by August-September...

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