ET poll sees India's growth at 6.6% in Q3, 7% for FY24

Posted on:
Key Points

India likely grew 6.6% in the third quarter this fiscal year, according to the median of estimates in an ET poll of 15 economists, decelerating from 7.6% in the preceding three months..

"The agricultural sector is expected to experience a pronounced slowdown due to diminished rainfall activity and subsequent declines in reservoir levels," said Rajani Sinha, chief economist at CareEdge..

"After a lower-than-projected kharif output, rabi sowing has exhibited a sluggish trend through most of the season, except for an uptick in the last couple of weeks," Sinha said.. Growth is expected to slow further in the fourth quarter as the tight monetary policy starts to weigh on economic activity...

"We expect a relative slowing of the economy in the second half of the year due to passthrough of the previous monetary policy actions," said Indranil Pan, chief economist at Yes Bank. "However, it will remain strong despite the likely slowdown in the rest of the world - benefiting from the lower trade gap on the expenditure side.". Outlook..

"While core inflation is likely to remain in the comfort zone, we expect it to start inching up in the second half of the next fiscal year as growth momentum gathers pace in the domestic and global economy," said Sinha...

You might be interested in

Monetary policy: RBI on tight rope to balance between inflation, economic growth; 25% bps rate hike in offing

05, Apr, 23

Since May last year, RBI has hiked the repo rate six times in a row -- taking the total hike to 250 bps. The repo rate has shifted from 4% to a four-year high of 6.50%.

RBI may continue pause on rate hike

05, Jun, 23

All 10 economists polled by Mint expect policy rates to remain unchanged. Most economists expect FY24 inflation to come in lower than RBI’s projection of 5.2%

RBI may maintain policy rate amid strong Q3 GDP growth and delayed US rate cut expectation

01, Mar, 24

The stronger than expected real GDP growth in the third quarter may prompt RBI to continue the status quo on policy rate. Economists believe the easing cycle may not begin before October. Rate cuts are unlikely, but RBI's communication on liquidity is important.

World Bank pegs Indian economy to grow by 6.6% in FY25

02, Apr, 24

Inflationary pressures are expected to subside, creating more policy space for easing financial conditions, says South Asia Development Update.

RBI may extend rate pause to fight food inflation

09, Aug, 23

All 42 economists in a Bloomberg survey forecast the Reserve Bank of Indias six-member monetary policy committee will keep the repurchase rate unchanged at 6.50% on Thursday. Policymakers are keeping an eye on the likely occurrence of El Nino, which brings drier weather conditions and can affect crop yields.

India likely to record high economic growth despite high inflationary tensions

30, Sep, 23

After a 7.8% expansion last quarter, economic growth was expected to moderate to 6.4% this quarter and then drop to 6.0% innext quarter before slowing to 5.5% in early 2024.

Extreme deprivation, once synonymous with India, is set to become extinct: RBI

21, May, 24

The Reserve Bank of India, in its monthly bulletin, highlighted India's imminent economic upturn, noting international recognition and anticipation of poverty eradication. The central bank emphasized growing optimism globally and cited commendation from external agencies like the International Monetary Fund for India's significant strides in reducing poverty.

RBI has taken a good call, I think: FM Nirmala Sitharaman on MPC decision to keep benchmark rate unchanged

06, Apr, 23

Nirmala Sitharaman, the Finance Minister, stated on Thursday that the Reserve Bank of India has taken a good call with its announcement of its bi-monthly policy.

After RBI's pause, industry wants reversal of rate hike cycle

08, Jun, 23

President of industry body Ficci Subhrakant Panda said a status quo in policy rates was largely expected and, by keeping the repo rate unchanged and maintaining the stance of withdrawal of accommodation, RBI is keeping a watchful eye on inflation while supporting growth.

‘Unchanged repo rate, changes in UPI': Key takeaways from RBI MPC meet

08, Dec, 23

The high-powered rate-setting panel began its three-day brainstorming on Wednesday.