ITC Q3 Results Preview: PAT may rise 2% YoY; cigarette sales volume seen steady

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Key Points

Steady volume growth in both cigarettes and non-cigarette FMCG business, coupled with strong traction in the hotels segment is likely to aid ITC Ltds earnings for the quarter ended December...

ITC is seen reporting a nearly 5% year-on-year (YoY) growth in revenue for the December quarter to Rs 17,016 crore, according to the average of estimates given by eight brokerages...

In the FMCG segment, we estimate 7.5% YoY revenue growth (versus 8.3%/16.1% in 2Q/1Q), as price hikes anniversarized since Q2 and 70/180 bps QoQ/YoY expansion in EBIT margin to 9%..

Agri business is expected to grow 10% YoY, as the base quarter was impacted by a ban on wheat and rice imports, whereas paperboards could decline 5% YoY (weak demand and price correction) and report an EBIT margin of 17.5%...

FMCG business growth to moderate on pricing anniversaries. Paper to see a significant correction in overall pricing.. EBITDA margin to see a decent swing owing to improved sales mix, the benefits of integrated manufacturing facilities...

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