Asian Paints Q2 Preview: Profit likely to surge 60% YoY; revenue growth to moderate on delayed festival de

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Key Points

Asian Paints is expected to see a good margin recovery over the previous year, but sales and volume growth would be muted due to irregular monsoons, and a shift in festival demand to the third quarter...

Volume growth for the quarter is likely to remain moderate at 7% YoY for India decorative paints, again due to the delayed festive season...

In the recent first quarter, Asian Paints posted 52% growth in consolidated net profit to Rs 1,550 crore Consolidated revenue from operations increased 7% YoY to Rs 9,182 crore...

We expect Asian Paints to report a 9.5% growth in net sales, driven by 7% growth in volumes in the domestic decorative paintsaided by market share gains, and premiumisation trend..

We expect EBITDA margin to expand 665 bps yoy to 21.2% (down 190 bps qoq; partly as 1Q margin had benefited from a reversal of sick leave provisions) as the GM gain (yoy) is partially offset by adverse operating leverage and likely higher A&SP spends..

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