Why did the RBI shift to neutral? The predictions for the future

Posted on:
Key Points

However, what Governor Shaktikanta Das' team was in complete agreement about was the need to chane their stance to neutral from focus on withdrawal of accommodation...

Considering the current inflation and growth trends, the MPC deemed it suitable to shift to a "neutral" stance, maintaining a clear focus on aligning inflation with the target while also supporting growth...

Dharmakirti Joshi, Chief Economist at CRISIL, said the shift to neutral stance while keeping the policy rate unchanged is a cautious approach that indicates a potential rate cut in December..

Rajani Sinha, Chief Economist at CareEdge said by changing its stance, the MPC has created the flexibility to lower rates in the future, based on how domestic and global conditions affect CPI inflation...

The RBI's decision to maintain rates while adopting a neutral stance aligns perfectly with expectations, Upasna Bhardwaj, Chief Economist at Kotak Mahindra Bank said.. Bhardwaj continues to anticipate the beginning of rate easing in December, with a potential cut of 25 basis points..

You might be interested in

Supply-side inflation pressures in core sectors will need more policy responses: Shashanka Bhide, Member o

22, Oct, 23

Shashanka Bhide, a member of the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), believes that supply-side price pressures in sectors like oil will require coordinated policy responses. He also mentions that upside risks to inflation will be considered for future policy decisions. Bhide expresses concern about uneven rainfall distribution and its potential impact on inflation.

Sab changa si? RBI MPC minutes suggest India is in a 'Goldilocks' scenario

23, Feb, 24

India's policymakers see a 'Goldilocks scenario' with a 4.5% inflation and 7% growth forecast for FY25, suggesting a balanced economy. The Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee agrees on the need for caution amid uncertainties. While optimistic about growth, economists urge vigilance due to global headwinds. Nomura expects a cumulative 100 bps rate cut, while others predict a pause until H1FY25.

MPC meeting: RBI may hit rate pause button again this week

05, Jun, 23

According to an ET poll with 16 respondents, the six-member rate-setting panel is seen maintaining the benchmark policy repo rate at 6.50% during the June 6-8 meeting, marking the second consecutive instance of it holding off on policy tightening. The respondents were unanimous in their expectation.

RBI delivers a Kapil Dev policy: Economists decode what's beyond the steadfast stance

06, Oct, 23

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has decided to maintain the repo rate at 6.5% for the fourth consecutive time. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) remains focused on aligning inflation to the 4% target. The RBI may consider open market sales of bonds to manage liquidity conditions. Despite inflation and resilient economic conditions, the MPC has kept its inflation and GDP forecasts unchanged.

RBI MPC meeting: Here's experts' take on repo rate status quo

08, Dec, 23

During the bi-monthly Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) meeting, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) decided unanimously to maintain the repo rate at 6.5%, marking the fifth consecutive time. RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das highlighted the central bank's focus on withdrawing the accommodation stance, considering the moderation of inflationary pressures and robust economic expansion in the first half of the fiscal year.

MPC alters tone, embracing growth optimism for FY24

08, Dec, 23

Inflation outcomes in FY25 will be influenced by when the El Nino recedes

RBI's policy-setting body keeps rates unchanged for 10th straight time, changes stance to 'neutral'

13, Oct, 24

Change in stance signals possibility of rate cuts, potentially as early as December, depending on inflation trends & global economy. Growth projection for FY 2024-25 retained at 7.2%.

One Last Time: Is RBI MPC setting the stage for rate cuts soon?

09, Oct, 24

RBI MPC October Meeting: The Reserve Bank of India shifts to a neutral stance while maintaining the repo rate at 6.5%. Experts anticipate a possible rate cut in December. The focus remains on controlling inflation and supporting growth amidst resilient economic conditions. Key decisions also include updates on GDP, inflation, and financial regulations.

Contrary observations in minutes of Monetary Policy Committee

23, Jun, 23

The MPC minutes are significant as they reveal the thought processes that have gone in when the members have taken a decision on rates and stance.

More interest rate hikes done than necessary: MPC's Jayanth Varma

22, Apr, 23

Inflation or at least projected inflation would have to fall much closer to the target for the MPC to have the headroom to act against a growth slowdown.