Will the stock market crash? Let's find out using 6-day stress test

As benchmark markets hit record highs, investors just have one question in their mind: Will the dream run conitnue? Here's what market experts said.

India's benchmark indices closed the week with gains after a volatile session, as the Reserve Bank of India maintained status quo on key policy rates.

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Under the two terms of the Narendra Modi-led government, Dalal Street investors had a good time despite implementing demonetization, GST, and the COVID-19 pandemic. The Nifty 50 has doubled in value in 9 years, with foreign and domestic institutional investors pouring in a net of $49.21 billion and ₹7 lakh crore, respectively. Post-pandemic, Indian equity markets increased significantly, making it one of the best-performing emerging markets in the MSCI index. The IT sector gave the best returns to the investors, followed by the financial services and FMCG sectors. Investors remain bullish on India due to its positive macro side improvement and stability.

Despite Asian markets trading in red and a mixed end for Wall Street, the SGX Nifty is hinting at a positive start for domestic indices Nifty and Sensex. Here are 8 key things to know before the share market opens on Tuesday.

Indian equities have performed well in the first half of 2023, reaching all-time highs, and money managers are optimistic about the market's prospects for the rest of the year. According to a survey, 86% of brokerages expect the benchmark Nifty 50 to be above 19,000 by December, and 79% believe the Sensex will surpass 65,000. Foreign and domestic fund flows are also expected to sustain, driven by strong corporate earnings and attractive growth potential. However, volatility may persist due to global interest rate hikes and geopolitical risks. The automobile, FMCG, and realty sectors are expected to continue gaining momentum in the second half of the year, while banking stocks are expected to rebound. Midcap and smallcap stocks are also expected to perform well, outperforming benchmark indices.

Overall we expect the market to trade in range with positive bias. Globally investors would watch out for US & Europe Consumer Confidence Data, said Siddhartha Khemka, Head - Retail Research, Motilal Oswal.

Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have invested $10 billion in Indian equities in the first quarter of FY24, leading to a rally in the stock market. Analysts believe that India is a preferred destination for investors looking for alternatives to China. The participation in the rally has been broad-based, with mid and smallcaps outperforming. With reasonable valuations, the Nifty index is expected to rally further and may reach 21,000. Encouraging progress of monsoons and a rate pause by the RBI are also boosting market sentiments. However, global geopolitical tensions and negative surprises in Q1 earnings could impact the market.

The SGX Nifty hinted at a positive start for Indian benchmark indices Nifty 50 and Sensex. Here's a look at the key things to know before the share market opens on Monday.

The large passive flows into India by FPI investors and Indian equities by domestic investors would suggest expectations of decent returns (expected returns) among passive investors, it said.