Traditional pre-election rally eludes Indian stocks

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With weeks to go before India starts voting in a general election that the incumbent government is widely expected to win, Indian equity markets are uncharacteristically languid and not seeing the traditional pre-election rally...

Analysts say this time is different, pointing to a stellar rally in the past year, rich valuations and uncertainties around political issues such as corruption and electoral funding as factors giving investors reason to pause...

The Nifty index has climbed over 30% over the past year, the second biggest gain among Asian indexes, but has faltered this month...

"The uncertainty will loom till election results are out, and as widely expected, if BJP sweeps the polls, we expect a further breakout rally in the equities," Goenka said.. Historically, Indian equities have started strong in election years, with the Nifty index averaging a 5.2% return in the first quarter of the previous three election cycles..

"Heading into elections, we could see some volatility amongst specific areas of the Indian market, such as small-cap stocks, which have rallied over 54% over the past 12 months," Malcolm Dorson, senior portfolio manager and head of emerging markets strategy at Global X ETFs...

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