A monetary policy review that didn't happen

Posted on:
Key Points

Financial markets, in the business of reading the future from the present, were excited that interest rate increases are behind after the RBI did not raise rates. But Governor Shaktikanta Das snatched the candy back in less than a minute.Reuters..

The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) approach to interest rates Thursday brings back memories of Rao...

While the Governor's utterances may have nullified the pleasant surprise of inaction on interest rates, many of the data points and the forecast from the central bank point to another direction that could leave rates where they are for a while...

The primary driver behind India's inflation targeting framework after the 2013 currency crisis was to prevent dislocation in financial markets due to negative real returns for savers...

"With the likely softening of CPI to low- to mid-5% levels in the coming months, the current repo rate of 6.5% implies that India's real policy rate will hover around 1% during 2023-24, while maintaining a policy rate differential of about 1.5% with the US," said Siddhartha Sanyal, economist at Bandhan Bank..

You might be interested in

ET Poll: RBI may pause rate action with 25 bps hike this week

03, Apr, 23

Nine of 10 economists polled by ET ahead of Thursday's policy announcement expect a 25-bps increase. This week's rate action is expected to be followed by a prolonged pause, with some respondents anticipating no further rate action for the remainder of FY24.

RBI unlikely to tinker with key rate this week

07, Aug, 23

India Business News: MUMBAI: The Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy statement this week is likely to indicate a hawkish pause, with inflation threatening to rise over.

RBI may nudge rates via liquidity, not benchmark

21, Apr, 23

India Business News: MUMBAI: Arguing for a pause in rate hikes, RBI governor Shaktikanta Das said in the minutes of the monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting that the fi.

Positive real rates are RBI's best buffer

06, Oct, 23

When the Federal Reserve chairman and the European Central Bank president are still guiding for raising interest rates, RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, when he reveals the status quo monetary policy on Thursday, can step aside while providing the central bank's customary cautionary footnote on remaining vigilant.

RBI monetary policy: SBI Research expects another pause in interest rates

09, Aug, 23

SBI Research expects the Reserve Bank of India to again put a pause on the key policy rates as the central bank's third monetary policy committee meeting is currently underway. The outcome of the review meeting will be announced on Thursday morning.

RBI governor to announce repo rate tomorrow. What happened in last MPC meet?

07, Feb, 24

RBI expected to maintain key interest rate due to inflation concerns

RBI leaves repo rate unchanged at 6.5%, maintains policy stance; market turns positive

06, Apr, 23

This is the first time since May 2022 the central bank has not tweaked interest rates. The RBI has raised interest rates by a cumulative 250 basis points since May in its year-long battle against inflation.

‘Monetary policy actively disinflationary’: RBI keeps repo rate unchanged at 6.5%

08, Dec, 23

RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said the central bank’s successive policy rate hikes, a reference to increases in interest rates, “seems to be working”

RBI's second consecutive pause expected, market awaits policy shift

08, Jun, 23

All 40 economists in a Bloomberg survey forecast the Indian central bank will keep the repurchase rate unchanged at 6.50%.

Bank of England raises rates to 4.5% as inflation slow to fall

11, May, 23

The Bank of England has raised its interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.5%, the highest level since 2008, in its 12th consecutive rate rise. Although it no longer predicts recession after reviving its growth forecasts, it also expects inflation to be slower than anticipated to fall due to unexpectedly large and persistent increases in food prices.