The decoupling propensity of India amid global uncertainty

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Key Points

The outlook for Indian industry is improving due to the clampdown of global commodity prices..

When the domestic economic environment is stable and commodity prices are reducing, it does provide leeway to Indian corporates due to a cut in operation costs..

Although the correlation between the Nifty50 index and Brent crude oil is negative at -0.22, based on the last 10 years data, suggesting a tendency to fall together, the relationship is relatively weak, because the coefficient is less than 0.5...

However, after the initial hiccups, both are diverging, with crude declining and Nifty50 rebounding due to an improvement in the profit outlook of India and a suitable valuation being in consolidation for 1.5 years.. . India heavily relies on importing raw materials, and the cost of local resources is also determined based on global prices..

Because, extended in-equilibrium in the global economy will ultimately affect the Indian stock market..

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